It’s been a bit more than two months since Fidel began to die. Social change operates like evolution. What scientists have found is species don’t change much over millions of years. Rather, they remain unchanged for eons until some condition in their environment changes. Then change is rapid. I thought now would be a good time to demonstrate this. Today is half time because Fidel probably doesn’t have but another couple of months to live.
For 47 years things pretty much stayed the same in Cuba. Fidel was in charge and that was that. But time continues to advance steadily and here is what has happened to the Havanaban in just this short time:
A hurricane has struck Cuba.
Because of government mismanagement there is trash strewn everywhere and streets pocked with holes. Both collect water for the mosquito. Thousands are infected and the numbers grow. The spraying is mostly ineffectual and pictures of it that have gotten out in the West making the government look really bad.
Because the junta continues to hold Cubans in slavery they do not have enough wealth to correct either of the above problems so the mosquitoes will continue to breed in large numbers assuring the spread of dengue fever continues until a drought sets in one day.
A big reason for them not having wealth is the loss of tourist dollars because of fear of this outbreak and uncertainty over the political situation on the island.
Their largest oil refinery has gone up in smoke depriving them of its output.
Their electric grid has failed keeping many Cubans in the dark.
The price for oil has plummeted depriving Chavez of much of his ability to prop up Cuba. Now, because of his bizarre behavior and bad policy he is slipping in the polls. More and more it’s every commie for himself.
Lulu in Brazil is faced with a run-off.
Morales is looking far less steady politically and he’s already made some central planning mistakes with more surely to come.
What will happen next? I can’t wait to see. What the Havanaban is discovering is societies are chaotic – they are unpredictable. You press in here and a completely unexpected reaction occurs over there. But here is one prediction I will make based on history. When society is breaking down as is happening right now in Cuba, the discontented take advantage of the chaos to stir up even more chaos. I suspect the next phase in this saga will be called “SABOTAGE!”